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Premier League relegation run-in predicted: Simply 4 factors separate Tottenham, West Ham, Leeds and Nottingham Forest with one unfortunate facet taking place on purpose distinction

umair by umair
24 March 2026
in Football
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Nottingham Forest beat Tottenham on Sunday in a crunch match in the relegation battle

The battle to keep away from relegation from the Premier League seems to be set to go right down to the wire, with Leeds, Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and West Ham fearing for his or her top-flight futures.

With Wolves and Burnley trying lower adrift, it’s trying like a dogfight between 4 groups to keep away from ending 18th.

Nottingham Forest put the cat amongst the pigeons on Sunday, beating Tottenham 3-0 of their relegation six-pointer to breathe life into their survival bid. The end result plunged Spurs into additional turmoil, with the prospect of sudden relegation rising ever extra seemingly for one of many Premier League’s ever-presents.

Tottenham stay solely a degree above West Ham, who at present lie the flawed facet of the dotted line regardless of enhancing in current months. Leeds are 4 factors above the drop, however are certainly not out of the woods.

There guarantees to be loads of dramatic twists and turns within the closing seven matchweeks of the season within the relegation combat. 

Every day Mail Sport has tried to foretell how the battle may play out.

Nottingham Forest beat Tottenham on Sunday in a crunch match within the relegation battle

West Ham are in the bottom three with seven games to go following the loss at Aston Villa

West Ham are within the backside three with seven video games to go following the loss at Aston Villa

LEEDS RUN-IN

Man United (A) – April 13 (Defeat)

Wolves (H) – April 18 (Draw)

Bournemouth (A) – April 25 (Defeat)

Burnley (H) – Could 2 (Win)

Tottenham (A) – Could 9 (Defeat)

Brighton (H) – Could 17 (Draw)

West Ham (A) – Could 24 (Defeat)

Prediction: SAFE on 38 factors 

Table of Contents

Toggle
  • Leeds – 33 factors
    • FOREST’S RUN-IN 
  • Nottingham Forest – 32 factors
    • SPURS RUN-IN 
  • Tottenham – 30 factors
    • WEST HAM’S RUN-IN 
  • West Ham – 29 factors
    • Related

Leeds – 33 factors

Would Leeds followers have accepted this place at the beginning of the marketing campaign?

Daniel Farke’s facet are at present 4 factors above the drop, with two groups between themselves and the underside three.

There are rising considerations although, having picked up 4 factors from their final six matches – the second lowest tally within the division.

These 4 factors have all come from attracts, with Leeds scoring simply three objectives throughout these matches however solely conceding 5.

On paper Leeds look to have a beneficial fixture checklist, with Farke’s facet enjoying the entire present backside 4 of their final seven matches.

If Leeds go down from right here, they’ll solely have themselves guilty.

Leeds play each of the bottom four and will only have themselves to blame if they go down

Leeds play every of the underside 4 and can solely have themselves guilty in the event that they go down

Greatest banker – Burnley – Leeds dwelling type can be ok to place them thirteenth within the desk. Three factors towards the Clarets will really feel like a should, notably as they’ll need to hold daylight between themselves and the underside three every week earlier than travelling to Tottenham.

Write off – Man United – Leeds are 12 league video games with out an away win and are but to win at Outdated Trafford within the Premier League period.

Banana pores and skin – Tottenham – At time of writing Spurs have received two league matches at dwelling and Leeds have received only one away. So this match might be a coin flip. Leeds will hope to have already got put distance between themselves and the drop, however defeat in North London may see them dragged again in.

FOREST’S RUN-IN 

Aston Villa (H) – April 12 (Defeat)

Burnley (H) – April 19 (Win)

Sunderland (A) – April 24 (Defeat)

Chelsea (A) – Could 2 (Defeat)

Newcastle (H) – Could 9 (Draw)

Man United (A) – Could 17 (Defeat)

Bournemouth (H) – Could 24 (Draw)

Prediction: SAFE on 37 factors 

Nottingham Forest – 32 factors

Forest’s monumental 3-0 victory on the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday can have followers buoyant about their probabilities of beating the drop going into the worldwide break.

The end result got here on the finish of a optimistic week, with Forest additionally progressing to the Europa League quarter-finals.

Forest’s fixtures instantly after the worldwide break may show key to their survival, forward of a tricky trying conclusion.

Forest’s dwelling matches on paper may ship factors, however they’ve scored a league low 13 objectives in entrance of their very own followers to this point this season.

Nottingham Forest have a tough end to the season so must build on their victory over Spurs

Nottingham Forest have a tricky finish to the season so should construct on their victory over Spurs

Greatest banker – Burnley – Vitor Pereira’s facet can have a house match towards the struggling Clarets circled for 3 factors. 

Write off – Man United – Forest will likely be hoping the Pink Devils have already secured Champions League qualification by the penultimate sport of the season. Nonetheless, you’ll be able to guess Man United and Michael Carrick will need a closing flourish in entrance of their dwelling followers. 

Banana pores and skin – Burnley – Something however three factors towards Burnley would set nerves jangling, notably with tough trying away matches towards Chelsea and Man United arising in Could.

SPURS RUN-IN 

Sunderland (A) – April 12 (Draw)

Brighton (H) – April 18 (Defeat)

Wolves (A) – April 25 (Win)

Aston Villa (A) – Could 2 (Draw)

Leeds (H) – Could 9 (Win)

Chelsea (A) – Could 17 (Defeat)

Everton (H) – Could 24 (Defeat)

Prediction – SAFE ON 38 factors 

Tottenham – 30 factors

The temper is bleak at Tottenham heading right into a three-week break following that dismal defeat of their six-pointer with Forest.

Spurs stay with no league win in 2026, selecting up simply 5 factors to this point this 12 months. Will Igor Tudor even be in cost by the point Spurs face Sunderland on April 12?

It’s laborious to make a case for Spurs at this stage, with followers doubtlessly hoping one other change within the dugout and extra gamers getting back from damage may rescue the membership.

On paper, there look to be some alternatives for Spurs to choose up factors nonetheless, however the membership is in its worst type in 91 years having gone 13 league video games with no win.

With Tottenham’s dwelling type remaining dreadful, selecting up sudden factors on the street could also be important. Spurs followers could hope Aston Villa progress within the Europa League, as their match at Villa Park can be sandwiched between a two-legged semi-final.

Victories over Wolves and Leeds really feel important. 

Tottenham are still yet to win in the league in 2026 and face must-win games against Wolves and Leeds

Tottenham are nonetheless but to win within the league in 2026 and face must-win video games towards Wolves and Leeds

Greatest banker – Leeds – Tottenham could have the worst dwelling document within the league, however Leeds have solely overwhelmed Wolves away to this point this season. Victory over Leeds is a should if Spurs are to remain up – however they’ve already misplaced to relegation rivals West Ham and Forest at dwelling.

Write off – Chelsea – Spurs have received only one at Stamford Bridge since 1990 and it could be staggering if this crew was the one to earn a second. With the match being their penultimate sport of the marketing campaign, Spurs followers will already be fearing the chance that Chelsea may ship them down.

Banana pores and skin – Wolves – Tottenham followers can have recognized Wolves and Leeds as their finest bets for wins for the rest of the marketing campaign. However Wolves have improved significantly because the season has gone on and Tottenham have misplaced their final three at Molineux. 

WEST HAM’S RUN-IN 

Wolves (H) – April 10 (Win)

Crystal Palace (A) – April 20 (Draw)

Everton (H) – April 25 (Draw)

Brentford (A) – Could 2 (Defeat)

Arsenal (H) – Could 9 (Defeat)

Newcastle (A) – Could 17 (Defeat)

Leeds (H) – Could 24 (Win)

Prediction: Down on 37 factors (Purpose distinction) 

West Ham – 29 factors

The Hammers seemed destined for the drop again in January, however their upturn in type beneath Nuno Espirito Santo has given actual hope of survival.

The issue is that regardless of the advance, West Ham stay within the backside three heading to the ultimate weeks of the season.

There will likely be an instantaneous likelihood to leap out of the underside three with West Ham enjoying Wolves on a Friday evening on April 10.

West Ham may also look to the following match towards Crystal Palace as a chance, with their London rivals having received simply three dwelling matches within the league this season. 

The Hammers’ purpose distinction is the worst out of the 4 sides and that would finally show essential. 

West Ham will hope to jump out of the bottom three when they host Wolves in a vital match after returning from the international break

West Ham will hope to leap out of the underside three once they host Wolves in an important match after getting back from the worldwide break

Greatest banker – Wolves – Victory over Wolves would carry West Ham out of the underside three and plunge Tottenham into the relegation zone earlier than their match at Sunderland. It may show a large psychological blow.

Write off – Arsenal – West Ham will most likely hope Arsenal have the title wrapped up by this level and have their eyes on different prizes. However on paper, this needs to be three factors for the Gunners.

Banana pores and skin – Leeds – West Ham followers will likely be dreading it coming right down to the ultimate day of the season and it stays doable this might be a shoot-out to keep away from the drop.

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umair

umair

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Nottingham Forest beat Tottenham on Sunday in a crunch match in the relegation battle

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